By Matthew Holloway. Media: DC Enquirer.
Note: This article may contain commentary reflecting the author’s opinion.
The latest polling from the Morning Consult Survey has shown former President and GOP frontrunner Donald J. Trump breaking away from the still undeclared presumptive contender, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
The survey was released following rumors that Trump may be arrested and indicted by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg in connection to $130,000 in payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels related to a non-disclosure agreement. Bragg allegedly intends to prosecute Trump on charges related to campaign finance and misclassification of a legal expense, according to Mark Levin.
“Let me put this in plain English so everybody can understand what’s going on here. It is not hush money. These are non-disclosure agreements. Companies, individuals, divorce parties enter into nondisclosure agreements, 10,000 a day probably, all across this country.”
According to the Analysis from Morning Consult, “As Trump awaits potential indictment on charges related to a 2016 hush money scheme with adult-film star Stormy Daniels, he has posted one of his largest polling leads in the 2024 Republican primary. The latest survey shows 54% of potential primary voters support the former president, compared with 26% who are backing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, tying his expected opponent’s lowest level of support since tracking began in December.”
2024 Republican primary polling trends by Morning Consult
• Trump — 45% (+11)
• DeSantis — 34%
• Trump — 48% (+18)
• DeSantis — 30%
• Trump — 52% (+24)
• DeSantis — 28%
• Trump — 54% (+28)
• DeSantis — 26% pic.twitter.com/wh35GXRYII
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) March 21, 2023
Trump repeatedly denied making payments to Daniels insisting that as indicated in financial records, rather the payments were made to his former attorney Michael Cohen.
The survey further indicated that while Trump has seen a decided increase, other Republican contenders have yet to gain traction. Most notably they point to former Vice President Mike Pence whose numbers have started to slide.
“Former Vice President Mike Pence’s favorability rating among potential primary voters declined from 60% to 55% during a week that featured news coverage of his condemnation of Trump’s behavior surrounding the Jan. 6 Capitol attack. Over the same time period, the share who said they’d recently heard something negative about Pence, who is polling at 7% in the nominating race, increased from 15% to 24%.”
Trump outright predicted an increase in his polling when he told the Associated Press that charges against him wouldn’t deter him at all. “Oh, absolutely, I won’t even think about leaving,” he said earlier in the week. “Probably, it’ll enhance my numbers.”